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报告_2023年全球贸易增长预计将大幅放缓PDF

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内容简介
PRESS/909
5 October 2022
Page: 1/11
(22-7485)
PRESS RELEASE
E M B A R G O
N O T F O R PU B L I C A TI O N , O R D I S T RI B U T I O N B Y N E W S A G EN C I E S U N T I L
1 2 : 0 0 H G E N E V A TI M E 5 O C T O B E R 2 0 2 2
TRADE STATISTICS AND OUTLOOK
Trade growth to slow sharply in 2023 as global economy faces
strong headwinds
World trade is expected to lose momentum in the
second half of 2022 and remain subdued in 2023 as
multiple shocks weigh on the global economy. WTO
economists now predict global merchandise trade
volumes will grow by 3.5% in 2022—slightly better
than the 3.0% forecast in April. For 2023, however,
they foresee a 1.0% increase—down sharply from the
previous estimate of 3.4%.
MAIN POINTS
? World merchandise trade volume is
expected to grow 3.5% in 2022 before
slowing to 1.0% in 2023 (revised down
from 3.4%).
? World GDP at market exchange rates
will increase by 2.8% in 2022 and by
2.3% in 2023 (revised down from 3.2%).
Import demand is expected to soften as growth slows
in major economies for different reasons. In Europe,
high energy prices stemming from the Russia-Ukraine
war will squeeze household spending and raise
manufacturing c

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